Będzie zorza czy nie ?

[zayzik]

Dostałem Alert:

A s t r o A l e r t

Sun-Earth Alert

 

Solar Terrestrial Dispatch

http://www.spacew.com

 

26 February 2004

 

MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE ALERT

 

A major solar flare has been observed from the sunspot complex known as

Region 564. This sunspot complex is large enough to be seen with the unaided

(but protected!) eye. It is currently slightly west of the central solar

meridian and will not rotate behind the western limb of the Sun and out of

view for approximately another 6 days. It's persisting growth also bodes well

for possible periods of enhanced northern lights activity over the coming

week.

 

Today's major class X1.1 solar flare occurred at 02:03 UTC on 26

February. It was not a particularly spectacular event, but its position is

excellent for ejecting mass toward the Earth. The Earth stands a good chance

to see a minor coronal mass ejection impact within the next 2 to 4 days. An

accurate assessment is not yet possible due to an inadequate amount of

available data. Once additional data has been received, forecasts will start

appearing on the various web sites (www.sec.noaa.gov, www.spacew.com, etc).

The likelihood of a large impact capable of producing significant auroral

activity is fairly low. Nevertheless, a middle latitude aurora watch will

probably be issued within the next 24 hours (don't expect any enhanced

auroral activity from this event within the next 36 to 48 hours). If a watch

is issued, another Astroalert will likewise be sent out.

 

Sunspot complex 564 may be capable of supporting an additional major

solar flare.

 

 

** End of the AstroAlert Bulletin **

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Ciekawe czy będzie

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html

:smoke:

[Bartek]

Miejmy taką nadzieje

[Robert Bodzoń]

W tej chwili wygląda to marnie. Aktywność na poziomie 4 (level) i Kp zaledwie 3. Poprzednie zorze były przy poziomie 9-10 i Kp 7-8.